Maker bot — paper test (v2)

Paper only: no orders, no wallet, no keys. Running since 03 Oct 22:15 WIB (15:15 UTC) · updated 04 Oct 17:14 WIB (10:14 UTC) · health ok · 60 cycles last hour, 0 errors, 3.3s each

How this test works (and what it cannot know)

Every minute it reads every real order book, decides offers for each setting, and treats them as live 3 seconds later (time to place) until the next decision + 3 s (time to cancel). It reads every public trade, rebuilds the exact price levels each real buyer/seller hit, and counts a fill only for volume that went past our price, or reached our price after the size already queued there. Fills are held to settlement. Rewards use Polymarket's published formula and live rates, against the real competing offers in the book.

Cannot be known on paper: whether Polymarket actually pays the estimated rewards; how other traders would react to our offers (they might undercut us or trade more with us); others cancelling ahead of us in the queue (assumed never — cautious).

Result by setting

tight 1c

offers 1c each side of mid · budget $1,000 · out 3h before peak

What real trades did to us (settled + open positions at today's price)

−$225.25
Rewards — model estimate (unverified, likely too high)+$211.63
Net if rewards are paid as estimated−$13.62
Net if rewards are 1/10 of estimate (closer to real wallets)−$204.08
Fills416 (4,936 sh)
Markets settled14 (−$90.46)
Capital in use now / average$987 / $914
Markets with live offers8

mid 2c

offers 2c each side of mid · budget $1,000 · out 3h before peak

What real trades did to us (settled + open positions at today's price)

−$174.19
Rewards — model estimate (unverified, likely too high)+$311.54
Net if rewards are paid as estimated+$137.35
Net if rewards are 1/10 of estimate (closer to real wallets)−$143.04
Fills390 (4,792 sh)
Markets settled13 (−$129.21)
Capital in use now / average$997 / $915
Markets with live offers7

wide 3c

offers 3c each side of mid · budget $1,000 · out 3h before peak

What real trades did to us (settled + open positions at today's price)

+$48.07
Rewards — model estimate (unverified, likely too high)+$319.39
Net if rewards are paid as estimated+$367.46
Net if rewards are 1/10 of estimate (closer to real wallets)+$80.01
Fills328 (4,308 sh)
Markets settled14 (−$110.59)
Capital in use now / average$989 / $914
Markets with live offers9

wide 3c, stop 6h

offers 3c each side of mid · budget $1,000 · out 6h before peak

What real trades did to us (settled + open positions at today's price)

+$33.36
Rewards — model estimate (unverified, likely too high)+$179.82
Net if rewards are paid as estimated+$213.18
Net if rewards are 1/10 of estimate (closer to real wallets)+$51.34
Fills217 (2,897 sh)
Markets settled0 (+$0.00)
Capital in use now / average$983 / $990
Markets with live offers10

Trading result over time (rewards excluded)

tight 1cmid 2cwide 3cwide 3c, stop 6h
+$307.47−$247.1703/10 22:15 WIB

Realism checks

Price move after our fills, in our favour (+) or against us (−), cents per share, weighted by size (number of fills in brackets). A maker bot loses here if informed traders hit us right before the price moves.

Settingafter 1 min5 min15 min60 min fills within 12h of peakavg size ahead of usoffers pulled early
tight 1c-0.53c (414)+0.15c (414)-0.10c (409)-0.89c (397)61%2271%
mid 2c+2.65c (389)+0.96c (389)+1.09c (382)-1.10c (375)68%7269%
wide 3c+7.23c (326)+5.35c (326)+4.05c (324)+0.12c (320)81%9870%
wide 3c, stop 6h+2.48c (217)+2.77c (217)+1.25c (217)-0.69c (210)49%20473%

Public trade feed delay (last 24h): typical 169s, worst 540s · taker orders rebuilt from exact maker levels: 50,621 · from the average price only: 2

Realism audit — what this test gets right, and what it can't know

PartHow it is simulatedBias
Order booksReal Polymarket books every 60 s. Verified the YES book already contains NO-side orders, so queue positions are complete.realistic
Placing / cancelling offersOffer counts as live 3 s after the decision and stays live 3 s after it is replaced (time to land / cancel). Never crosses the book.realistic (a Tor route may be slower)
How fast we reactOffers are re-set once a minute; a real bot can react in seconds.cautious — more stale pick-offs than reality
Queue positionWe wait behind every share already at our price when we join. Others cancelling ahead of us is ignored.cautious
Which trades fill usEach real taker order is rebuilt from the exact price levels it hit (maker-side records). We get the volume that went past our price, or reached it after the queue ahead.realistic
Late public dataFeed runs ~2 min behind; price-level records up to ~4 min. Fills are matched to the offer live at the trade's real time.realistic (we learn fills late; a real bot learns instantly)
Extra trades our better price would attractNot simulated.unknown
Competitors reacting to usNot simulated (they might undercut us or quote bigger).too optimistic for rewards
Liquidity rewardsPolymarket's published formula, live per-market rates, live competing offers, only while our offer meets the minimum size.unverified — real payout can only be confirmed with real orders
Fees / rebatesMakers pay nothing; 25% of the taker fee on our fills counted as rebate.rebate approximate
SettlementPositions held to Polymarket's official result.realistic
Money tied upEvery resting offer's collateral + open positions count against the budget.realistic / slightly cautious
Outages, rejected orders, rate limits, Tor/geo-blockNot simulated.too optimistic

What the September replay said (before this test)

September replay on 2.5M real Polymarket trades, $1,000 budget, offers re-set every 10 min, held to settlement. Fills LOST money in every setting; the only profit is the liquidity-reward estimate, which real wallets suggest is several times too high.

SettingSep 1–14Sep 15–Oct 1Note
1c from mid, stop 3h before peakfills −$1,488 · rewards* +$5,562fills −$814 · rewards* +$6,876most fills, most losses
2c from mid, stop 3hfills −$1,091 · rewards* +$6,153fills −$1,316 · rewards* +$6,976
3c from mid, stop 3hfills −$578 · rewards* +$6,403fills −$960 · rewards* +$6,672
3c from mid, stop 6hfills −$52 · rewards* +$5,704fills −$771 · rewards* +$5,535smallest fill losses
Check: exact price levels vs averaged prices (160-event sample)fills within ±3%trading result within tens of $replay conclusion unchanged
Fills in last 12h before peak−3.0 to −3.5c per sharestation readings move price
Fills >24h before peak−1.4 to −2.0c per sharestill negative
Reality check: best real reward farmer~$800–1,300/day on ~$24.5k≈ 3–5% of capital per dayBrettAutomatic, on-chain cash + payouts
Reality check: other real makers0.1–7% of cash per daymost under 1%opopv., TunSahur, mashuuu, neo7777, OnlyLuckNoBrain

* model estimate using today's reward rates; Sep rates were not published. Real payouts can only be confirmed with real orders.

By day (UTC)

Daytight 1c fillssettledrewards*mid 2c fillssettledrewards*wide 3c fillssettledrewards*wide 3c, stop 6h fillssettledrewards*
2026-10-04193−$90.46+$117.97231−$129.21+$206.20224−$110.59+$234.59141+$0.00+$130.22
2026-10-03223+$0.00+$95.88159+$0.00+$107.01104+$0.00+$87.3076+$0.00+$50.84

Latest fills

Times in WIB. “Since” = middle-price move since the fill. “Seen after” = public feed delay.

TimeSettingCity / dateBucketActionPriceSharesSinceSeen after
04/10 17:09tight 1cMadrid 10-0423°Csold YES50.0c10+1.0c81s
04/10 17:09wide 3cMadrid 10-0424°Cbought YES15.0c581s
04/10 17:09tight 1cMadrid 10-0423°Csold YES50.0c5+1.0c99s
04/10 17:05mid 2cMunich 10-0422°Csold YES57.0c3+7.0c15s
04/10 17:05wide 3cMunich 10-0422°Csold YES58.0c3+8.0c15s
04/10 17:02tight 1cMilan 10-0425°Cbought YES20.0c0+0.5c209s
04/10 17:02mid 2cMilan 10-0425°Cbought YES19.0c20+1.5c209s
04/10 17:02wide 3cMilan 10-0425°Cbought YES18.0c20+2.5c209s
04/10 17:02tight 1cLos Angeles 10-0496-97°Fsold YES31.0c4+10.0c222s
04/10 17:02tight 1cLos Angeles 10-0496-97°Fsold YES31.0c21+10.0c222s
04/10 17:02mid 2cLos Angeles 10-0496-97°Fsold YES32.0c4+11.0c222s
04/10 17:02mid 2cLos Angeles 10-0496-97°Fsold YES32.0c21+11.0c222s
04/10 17:01tight 1cMilan 10-0425°Cbought YES20.0c20+0.5c251s
04/10 17:00tight 1cMilan 10-0425°Csold YES22.0c5+1.5c306s
04/10 17:00mid 2cMilan 10-0425°Csold YES22.0c5+1.5c306s
04/10 17:00wide 3cMilan 10-0425°Csold YES23.0c5+2.5c306s
04/10 17:00mid 2cMilan 10-0424°Csold YES71.0c7+6.5c327s
04/10 17:00mid 2cLondon 10-0421°Cbought YES43.0c4-2.0c341s
04/10 16:57mid 2cMilan 10-0424°Csold YES71.0c2+6.5c111s
04/10 16:50tight 1cParis 10-0424°Cbought YES48.0c4-1.5c192s
04/10 16:40wide 3cParis 10-0425°Csold YES43.0c25-8.0c79s
04/10 16:37wide 3c, stop 6hMiami 10-0690-91°Fsold YES33.0c10-5.5c247s
04/10 16:37wide 3c, stop 6hMiami 10-0690-91°Fsold YES33.0c10-5.5c247s
04/10 16:37mid 2cMiami 10-0686-87°Fbought YES12.0c5-4.0c249s
04/10 16:37mid 2cMiami 10-0686-87°Fbought YES12.0c15-4.0c249s
04/10 16:34tight 1cAustin 10-0686-87°Fbought YES45.0c2+2.5c125s
04/10 16:34tight 1cMilan 10-0425°Csold YES23.0c9+2.5c132s
04/10 16:33tight 1cNYC 10-0462-63°Fsold YES47.0c5+1.5c210s
04/10 16:29tight 1cBusan 10-0625°Csold YES18.0c5-1.5c86s
04/10 16:29mid 2cBusan 10-0625°Csold YES19.0c5-0.5c86s
04/10 16:28wide 3cIstanbul 10-0419°Csold YES76.0c10-2.5c113s
04/10 16:27tight 1cIstanbul 10-0419°Cbought YES71.0c3+7.5c222s
04/10 16:22tight 1cAtlanta 10-0676-77°Fsold YES28.0c20-4.5c136s
04/10 16:22mid 2cAtlanta 10-0676-77°Fsold YES29.0c20-3.5c136s
04/10 16:20wide 3cParis 10-0425°Cbought YES40.0c5+11.0c264s
04/10 16:20wide 3cParis 10-0425°Cbought YES40.0c10+11.0c267s
04/10 16:18wide 3c, stop 6hAtlanta 10-0580-81°Fbought YES34.0c20-0.5c31s
04/10 16:16tight 1cManila 10-0633°Csold YES40.0c11-4.5c126s
04/10 16:16wide 3c, stop 6hManila 10-0633°Csold YES42.0c13-2.5c126s
04/10 16:16tight 1cManila 10-0633°Csold YES40.0c9-4.5c127s

Open positions

SettingCity / dateBucketYESNOValue now
mid 2cCape Town 10-0427°C020+$3.26
mid 2cDallas 10-0582-83°F019+$1.48
mid 2cSeattle 10-0468-69°F020−$0.37
mid 2cCape Town 10-0428°C210+$8.10
mid 2cNYC 10-0570-71°F50+$0.41
mid 2cWellington 10-0412°C1230
mid 2cDallas 10-0580-81°F020+$0.33
mid 2cCape Town 10-0618°C100−$0.22
mid 2cLondon 10-0523°C010+$0.76
mid 2cShanghai 10-0422°C020
mid 2cMilan 10-0425°C150+$0.42
mid 2cHouston 10-0588-89°F09−$0.16
mid 2cAmsterdam 10-0621°C20+$0.07
mid 2cMiami 10-0688-89°F040+$1.12
mid 2cGuangzhou 10-0433°C055
mid 2cTel Aviv 10-0528°C200−$0.34
mid 2cGuangzhou 10-0432°C038
mid 2cWellington 10-0616°C50+$0.04
mid 2cWuhan 10-0626°C30+$0.03
mid 2cBuenos Aires 10-0525°C70−$0.48
mid 2cMadrid 10-0422°C011+$2.61
mid 2cAtlanta 10-0676-77°F020−$0.65
mid 2cMexico City 10-0419°C04+$0.18
mid 2cMadrid 10-0619°C200−$1.37
mid 2cCape Town 10-0524°C07−$0.09
mid 2cMoscow 10-0612°C10−$0.12
mid 2cWellington 10-0413°C03
mid 2cAnkara 10-0418°C60+$0.24
mid 2cLos Angeles 10-0594-95°F360+$1.32
mid 2cBusan 10-0623°C015+$2.01
mid 2cBusan 10-0625°C05−$0.02
mid 2cSeattle 10-0472-73°F03−$0.60
mid 2cChongqing 10-0421°C034
mid 2cJeddah 10-0437°C190−$4.18
mid 2cLos Angeles 10-05100°F or higher09+$1.29
mid 2cBeijing 10-0422°C020
mid 2cCape Town 10-0426°C200
mid 2cChicago 10-0474-75°F016−$1.50
mid 2cIstanbul 10-0620°C05−$0.08
mid 2cParis 10-0425°C210−$2.74
mid 2cAmsterdam 10-0419°C02−$0.25
mid 2cHelsinki 10-0415°C046−$17.09
mid 2cParis 10-0525°C010+$0.18
mid 2cBuenos Aires 10-0424°C200−$1.64
mid 2cNYC 10-0466-67°F120−$1.44
mid 2cAnkara 10-0419°C03+$0.08
mid 2cAmsterdam 10-0420°C02+$0.39
mid 2cWarsaw 10-0419°C020−$2.04
mid 2cBeijing 10-0627°C70−$0.38
mid 2cChongqing 10-0420°C035−$17.91
mid 2cChengdu 10-0423°C20
mid 2cLucknow 10-0433°C200+$4.91
mid 2cBuenos Aires 10-0522°C200+$0.05
mid 2cChengdu 10-0424°C02
mid 2cQingdao 10-0422°C07
mid 2cToronto 10-0420°C08+$0.10
mid 2cMiami 10-0490-91°F011+$0.33
mid 2cLos Angeles 10-0498-99°F100+$0.18
mid 2cLucknow 10-0434°C20−$0.63
mid 2cAtlanta 10-0476-77°F90−$0.79
mid 2cWellington 10-0414°C0125
mid 2cMoscow 10-0413°C40+$2.98
mid 2cMiami 10-0686-87°F200−$0.78
mid 2cParis 10-0424°C530−$1.16
mid 2cShenzhen 10-0431°C021
mid 2cDenver 10-0484-85°F70−$0.05
mid 2cToronto 10-0421°C04+$0.68
mid 2cManila 10-0534°C20+$0.04
mid 2cAustin 10-0482-83°F020+$5.36
mid 2cBuenos Aires 10-0425°C024−$0.37
mid 2cChengdu 10-0521°C04+$0.01
mid 2cIstanbul 10-0419°C1000+$5.75
mid 2cMoscow 10-0411°C130+$1.44
mid 2cHelsinki 10-0416°C60−$0.24
mid 2cShenzhen 10-0627°C20+$0.00
mid 2cLos Angeles 10-0494-95°F110−$1.29
mid 2cBeijing 10-0625°C100−$0.24
mid 2cKarachi 10-0432°C490
mid 2cBuenos Aires 10-0524°C200−$1.06
mid 2cSan Francisco 10-0388-89°F290
mid 2cShanghai 10-0524°C10+$0.02
mid 2cShanghai 10-0523°C07−$0.22
mid 2cSeoul 10-0424°C030
mid 2cParis 10-0426°C or higher40−$0.37
mid 2cTokyo 10-0422°C10
mid 2cDenver 10-0588-89°F014+$0.39
mid 2cSeoul 10-0423°C055
mid 2cChengdu 10-0422°C80
mid 2cShanghai 10-0623°C200+$2.53
mid 2cHouston 10-0484-85°F200+$1.03
mid 2cLucknow 10-0534°C100−$0.04
mid 2cNYC 10-0662-63°F20+$0.06
mid 2cHong Kong 10-0431°C014
mid 2cAtlanta 10-0474-75°F024−$2.69
mid 2cLondon 10-0421°C06−$1.24
mid 2cCape Town 10-0617°C120+$0.09
mid 2cLucknow 10-0631°C20+$0.02
mid 2cChicago 10-0568-69°F200+$1.26
mid 2cMilan 10-0424°C900+$3.82
mid 2cTaipei 10-0433°C650
mid 2cSeattle 10-0570-71°F020+$1.33
mid 2cNYC 10-0462-63°F020−$5.46
mid 2cLos Angeles 10-0598-99°F06+$0.73
mid 2cMunich 10-0422°C03+$0.22
mid 2cLondon 10-0422°C05+$0.29
mid 2cWuhan 10-0423°C100
mid 2cLos Angeles 10-0496-97°F030+$3.42
mid 2cGuangzhou 10-0531°C50−$0.32
mid 2cHelsinki 10-0414°C020
mid 2cKuala Lumpur 10-0433°C023
mid 2cShanghai 10-0423°C072−$32.26
mid 2cTel Aviv 10-0431°C680−$6.78
mid 2cMoscow 10-0412°C020+$0.66
mid 2cWellington 10-0615°C015−$0.26
mid 2cJeddah 10-0436°C07+$1.71
mid 2cSan Francisco 10-0490-91°F10−$0.06
mid 2cMiami 10-0590-91°F120+$0.28
tight 1cSan Francisco 10-0488-89°F200−$0.45
tight 1cCape Town 10-0427°C60−$0.90
tight 1cDallas 10-0582-83°F020+$1.36
tight 1cWellington 10-0516°C80−$0.06
tight 1cCape Town 10-0428°C210+$7.89
tight 1cDenver 10-0586-87°F110−$0.65
tight 1cNYC 10-0570-71°F70+$0.66
tight 1cWellington 10-0412°C400
tight 1cCape Town 10-0618°C100−$0.36
tight 1cLondon 10-0523°C020+$1.25
tight 1cShanghai 10-0422°C020
tight 1cMilan 10-0425°C60+$0.46
tight 1cLos Angeles 10-0596-97°F100+$0.15
tight 1cHouston 10-0588-89°F020−$0.57
tight 1cAmsterdam 10-0621°C20+$0.05
tight 1cMiami 10-0688-89°F020+$0.66
tight 1cAmsterdam 10-0520°C03−$0.01
tight 1cGuangzhou 10-0432°C073
tight 1cWellington 10-0616°C50−$0.01
tight 1cWuhan 10-0626°C04+$0.16
tight 1cPanama City 10-0432°C or higher07−$0.42
tight 1cBuenos Aires 10-0525°C70−$0.55
tight 1cMadrid 10-0422°C200−$2.74
tight 1cMoscow 10-0516°C or higher50−$0.41
tight 1cAtlanta 10-0676-77°F020−$0.85
tight 1cMadrid 10-0619°C200−$1.57
tight 1cKuala Lumpur 10-0434°C730
tight 1cWarsaw 10-0519°C020−$0.54
tight 1cWellington 10-0413°C03
tight 1cAnkara 10-0418°C60+$0.17
tight 1cLos Angeles 10-0594-95°F430+$2.72
tight 1cBusan 10-0623°C015+$2.01
tight 1cBusan 10-0625°C05−$0.07
tight 1cSeattle 10-0472-73°F200−$0.84
tight 1cChongqing 10-0421°C043
tight 1cJeddah 10-0437°C200−$4.56
tight 1cLos Angeles 10-05100°F or higher020+$2.58
tight 1cCape Town 10-0426°C200
tight 1cMadrid 10-0423°C08+$1.95
tight 1cWarsaw 10-0518°C40+$0.08
tight 1cChicago 10-0474-75°F10−$1.72
tight 1cIstanbul 10-0620°C05−$0.13
tight 1cToronto 10-0515°C200+$0.96
tight 1cManila 10-0533°C014−$1.39
tight 1cParis 10-0425°C04−$0.15
tight 1cAmsterdam 10-0419°C04−$0.59
tight 1cHelsinki 10-0415°C044−$11.29
tight 1cParis 10-0525°C010+$0.08
tight 1cBuenos Aires 10-0424°C200−$1.84
tight 1cNYC 10-0466-67°F120−$1.57
tight 1cAnkara 10-0419°C03+$0.08
tight 1cAmsterdam 10-0420°C020+$3.16
tight 1cIstanbul 10-0420°C05+$0.06
tight 1cWarsaw 10-0419°C020−$2.24
tight 1cBeijing 10-0627°C70−$0.51
tight 1cChongqing 10-0420°C032−$27.41
tight 1cChengdu 10-0423°C140
tight 1cLucknow 10-0433°C047−$10.62
tight 1cBuenos Aires 10-0522°C200−$0.15
tight 1cChengdu 10-0424°C980
tight 1cWuhan 10-0526°C030+$2.90
tight 1cQingdao 10-0422°C02
tight 1cToronto 10-0420°C08+$0.02
tight 1cMiami 10-0490-91°F020−$0.35
tight 1cLos Angeles 10-0498-99°F200+$0.16
tight 1cLucknow 10-0434°C260−$7.55
tight 1cAtlanta 10-0476-77°F90−$0.79
tight 1cWellington 10-0414°C0125
tight 1cMoscow 10-0413°C160−$1.59
tight 1cParis 10-0424°C230−$0.08
tight 1cDenver 10-0484-85°F120−$0.16
tight 1cToronto 10-0421°C06+$0.38
tight 1cManila 10-0534°C20+$0.02
tight 1cBuenos Aires 10-0425°C040−$2.31
tight 1cChengdu 10-0521°C04−$0.03
tight 1cIstanbul 10-0419°C80+$0.48
tight 1cBuenos Aires 10-0423°C05+$0.35
tight 1cHong Kong 10-0430°C250
tight 1cTel Aviv 10-0430°C30+$1.17
tight 1cHelsinki 10-0416°C60−$0.30
tight 1cShenzhen 10-0627°C20−$0.01
tight 1cLos Angeles 10-0494-95°F400−$2.93
tight 1cBuenos Aires 10-0524°C90−$0.33
tight 1cMoscow 10-0514°C00−$0.00
tight 1cAustin 10-0686-87°F20+$0.06
tight 1cSan Francisco 10-0388-89°F290
tight 1cParis 10-0526°C05+$1.61
tight 1cShanghai 10-0524°C10+$0.00
tight 1cShanghai 10-0523°C020−$0.84
tight 1cNYC 10-0568-69°F02+$0.01
tight 1cTokyo 10-0422°C570
tight 1cMexico City 10-0523°C10+$0.06
tight 1cSao Paulo 10-0426°C10−$0.03
tight 1cDenver 10-0588-89°F014+$0.14
tight 1cSeoul 10-0423°C038
tight 1cChengdu 10-0422°C010
tight 1cBusan 10-0426°C50
tight 1cAnkara 10-0420°C250−$0.40
tight 1cHouston 10-0484-85°F200+$0.83
tight 1cManila 10-0633°C020−$0.84
tight 1cMadrid 10-0523°C06−$0.26
tight 1cManila 10-0433°C50
tight 1cSingapore 10-0533°C020−$2.14
tight 1cWellington 10-0515°C020+$0.16
tight 1cNYC 10-0662-63°F20+$0.05
tight 1cTokyo 10-0423°C029
tight 1cHong Kong 10-0431°C0100
tight 1cSan Francisco 10-0584-85°F08+$0.02
tight 1cAtlanta 10-0474-75°F30−$4.19
tight 1cCape Town 10-0617°C120−$0.03
tight 1cBeijing 10-0626°C20+$0.17
tight 1cLucknow 10-0631°C20+$0.00
tight 1cChicago 10-0568-69°F80+$0.74
tight 1cMoscow 10-0513°C010−$1.82
tight 1cMilan 10-0424°C015−$1.81
tight 1cBeijing 10-0421°C017
tight 1cMadrid 10-0524°C05−$0.16
tight 1cSeattle 10-0570-71°F020+$1.13
tight 1cNYC 10-0462-63°F025−$5.57
tight 1cWuhan 10-0423°C024
tight 1cLos Angeles 10-0496-97°F100−$1.02
tight 1cGuangzhou 10-0531°C50−$0.37
tight 1cHelsinki 10-0414°C052
tight 1cTaipei 10-0527°C120−$0.15
tight 1cShanghai 10-0423°C070−$40.40
tight 1cMunich 10-0421°C020−$2.54
tight 1cTel Aviv 10-0431°C00+$0.66
tight 1cCape Town 10-0525°C90+$0.02
tight 1cMoscow 10-0412°C02+$3.78
tight 1cChongqing 10-0522°C00−$0.02
tight 1cJeddah 10-0436°C07+$1.71
tight 1cMiami 10-0590-91°F220−$0.44
tight 1cBusan 10-0425°C00
wide 3cCape Town 10-0427°C07+$1.23
wide 3cCape Town 10-0428°C029−$14.66
wide 3cWellington 10-0412°C1230
wide 3cDallas 10-0580-81°F020+$0.53
wide 3cPanama City 10-0431°C016+$1.09
wide 3cShanghai 10-0422°C015
wide 3cMilan 10-0425°C150+$0.67
wide 3cHouston 10-0588-89°F09−$0.07
wide 3cSeattle 10-0564-65°F50+$0.66
wide 3cAmsterdam 10-0621°C20+$0.09
wide 3cMiami 10-0688-89°F05+$0.07
wide 3cGuangzhou 10-0433°C0155
wide 3cGuangzhou 10-0432°C980
wide 3cWuhan 10-0626°C30+$0.03
wide 3cTaipei 10-0432°C700
wide 3cMadrid 10-0422°C016+$3.39
wide 3cMoscow 10-0612°C10−$0.10
wide 3cKuala Lumpur 10-0434°C370
wide 3cWellington 10-0413°C03
wide 3cLos Angeles 10-0594-95°F250+$0.95
wide 3cBusan 10-0623°C015+$2.01
wide 3cSeattle 10-0472-73°F40−$0.43
wide 3cChongqing 10-0421°C018
wide 3cJeddah 10-0437°C190−$3.99
wide 3cBeijing 10-0422°C046
wide 3cCape Town 10-0426°C200
wide 3cMadrid 10-0424°C50
wide 3cChicago 10-0474-75°F03−$0.70
wide 3cParis 10-0425°C100−$2.59
wide 3cAmsterdam 10-0419°C019−$2.79
wide 3cHelsinki 10-0415°C046−$17.09
wide 3cNYC 10-0466-67°F120−$1.32
wide 3cAnkara 10-0419°C03+$0.11
wide 3cIstanbul 10-0420°C650−$2.07
wide 3cSeoul 10-0422°C320
wide 3cBeijing 10-0627°C100−$0.47
wide 3cChongqing 10-0420°C025−$12.33
wide 3cMadrid 10-0421°C1160−$12.05
wide 3cChengdu 10-0423°C1000
wide 3cLucknow 10-0433°C240+$5.34
wide 3cHouston 10-0482-83°F10+$0.00
wide 3cChengdu 10-0424°C130
wide 3cWuhan 10-0526°C05+$0.59
wide 3cQingdao 10-0422°C07
wide 3cToronto 10-0420°C046−$3.14
wide 3cMiami 10-0490-91°F00+$0.17
wide 3cAtlanta 10-0476-77°F90−$0.79
wide 3cWellington 10-0414°C0125
wide 3cMoscow 10-0413°C024+$5.37
wide 3cParis 10-0424°C1480−$1.71
wide 3cShenzhen 10-0431°C021
wide 3cAustin 10-0482-83°F020+$5.56
wide 3cChengdu 10-0426°C05−$4.36
wide 3cBuenos Aires 10-0425°C02+$0.27
wide 3cIstanbul 10-0419°C010−$0.23
wide 3cMoscow 10-0411°C130+$1.44
wide 3cHong Kong 10-0430°C790
wide 3cHelsinki 10-0416°C60−$0.18
wide 3cShenzhen 10-0627°C20+$0.02
wide 3cTaipei 10-0435°C06
wide 3cBeijing 10-0625°C100−$0.14
wide 3cKarachi 10-0432°C490
wide 3cSan Francisco 10-0388-89°F290
wide 3cSeoul 10-0424°C030
wide 3cTokyo 10-0422°C160
wide 3cDenver 10-0588-89°F30+$0.31
wide 3cSeoul 10-0423°C055
wide 3cBusan 10-0426°C60
wide 3cAnkara 10-0420°C10+$2.33
wide 3cNYC 10-0662-63°F20+$0.08
wide 3cHong Kong 10-0431°C80
wide 3cAtlanta 10-0474-75°F04−$2.46
wide 3cLucknow 10-0631°C20+$0.04
wide 3cMilan 10-0424°C550+$2.10
wide 3cTaipei 10-0433°C650
wide 3cBusan 10-0427°C420
wide 3cMunich 10-0422°C03+$0.25
wide 3cWuhan 10-0423°C100
wide 3cLos Angeles 10-0496-97°F140−$1.18
wide 3cHelsinki 10-0414°C028
wide 3cKuala Lumpur 10-0433°C025
wide 3cTaipei 10-0434°C60
wide 3cShanghai 10-0423°C042−$24.00
wide 3cMunich 10-0421°C50+$0.77
wide 3cTel Aviv 10-0431°C02+$2.07
wide 3cMoscow 10-0412°C50−$0.73
wide 3cWellington 10-0615°C05−$0.03
wide 3cJeddah 10-0436°C07+$1.71
wide 3c, stop 6hCape Town 10-0428°C076−$31.29
wide 3c, stop 6hDallas 10-0580-81°F020+$0.53
wide 3c, stop 6hPanama City 10-0431°C016+$1.09
wide 3c, stop 6hHouston 10-0588-89°F09−$0.07
wide 3c, stop 6hSeattle 10-0470-71°F029+$0.53
wide 3c, stop 6hSeattle 10-0564-65°F50+$0.66
wide 3c, stop 6hAmsterdam 10-0621°C20+$0.09
wide 3c, stop 6hMiami 10-0688-89°F05+$0.07
wide 3c, stop 6hTel Aviv 10-0528°C70−$0.05
wide 3c, stop 6hGuangzhou 10-0432°C310
wide 3c, stop 6hMiami 10-0690-91°F020−$1.04
wide 3c, stop 6hWuhan 10-0626°C30+$0.03
wide 3c, stop 6hMadrid 10-0422°C840−$12.25
wide 3c, stop 6hMadrid 10-0619°C200−$1.17
wide 3c, stop 6hMoscow 10-0612°C170−$1.10
wide 3c, stop 6hLos Angeles 10-0594-95°F250+$0.95
wide 3c, stop 6hGuangzhou 10-0434°C011
wide 3c, stop 6hBusan 10-0623°C015+$2.01
wide 3c, stop 6hSeattle 10-0472-73°F016−$0.27
wide 3c, stop 6hChongqing 10-0421°C140
wide 3c, stop 6hMunich 10-0420°C30+$1.14
wide 3c, stop 6hCape Town 10-0426°C200
wide 3c, stop 6hMadrid 10-0423°C50+$0.91
wide 3c, stop 6hChicago 10-0474-75°F018−$0.01
wide 3c, stop 6hParis 10-0425°C270−$3.30
wide 3c, stop 6hDallas 10-0480-81°F50−$0.53
wide 3c, stop 6hBuenos Aires 10-0424°C200−$0.84
wide 3c, stop 6hNYC 10-0466-67°F120−$1.32
wide 3c, stop 6hAtlanta 10-0582-83°F200−$2.86
wide 3c, stop 6hIstanbul 10-0420°C400+$4.80
wide 3c, stop 6hWarsaw 10-0419°C50+$0.62
wide 3c, stop 6hBeijing 10-0627°C100−$0.47
wide 3c, stop 6hChongqing 10-0420°C035−$19.00
wide 3c, stop 6hMadrid 10-0421°C1990−$16.18
wide 3c, stop 6hMadrid 10-0420°C260−$1.90
wide 3c, stop 6hLucknow 10-0433°C01+$0.19
wide 3c, stop 6hHouston 10-0482-83°F10+$0.00
wide 3c, stop 6hChengdu 10-0424°C80
wide 3c, stop 6hWuhan 10-0526°C05+$0.59
wide 3c, stop 6hQingdao 10-0422°C02
wide 3c, stop 6hToronto 10-0420°C046−$3.14
wide 3c, stop 6hMiami 10-0490-91°F110−$0.16
wide 3c, stop 6hAtlanta 10-0476-77°F90−$0.79
wide 3c, stop 6hMoscow 10-0413°C100−$0.71
wide 3c, stop 6hWarsaw 10-0623°C200−$0.98
wide 3c, stop 6hLos Angeles 10-0592-93°F200−$0.06
wide 3c, stop 6hAustin 10-0482-83°F020+$5.56
wide 3c, stop 6hChengdu 10-0426°C010−$8.06
wide 3c, stop 6hTokyo 10-0424°C50
wide 3c, stop 6hBuenos Aires 10-0425°C180−$0.47
wide 3c, stop 6hIstanbul 10-0419°C380+$2.07
wide 3c, stop 6hMoscow 10-0411°C130+$1.44
wide 3c, stop 6hTel Aviv 10-0430°C05−$0.91
wide 3c, stop 6hShenzhen 10-0627°C20+$0.02
wide 3c, stop 6hTaipei 10-0435°C06
wide 3c, stop 6hBeijing 10-0625°C100−$0.14
wide 3c, stop 6hDenver 10-0480-81°F200+$0.02
wide 3c, stop 6hAtlanta 10-0478-79°F290+$1.12
wide 3c, stop 6hChongqing 10-0520°C200−$1.24
wide 3c, stop 6hTokyo 10-0422°C950
wide 3c, stop 6hDenver 10-0588-89°F30+$0.31
wide 3c, stop 6hChengdu 10-0422°C50
wide 3c, stop 6hManila 10-0633°C013−$0.28
wide 3c, stop 6hNYC 10-0662-63°F20+$0.08
wide 3c, stop 6hAtlanta 10-0474-75°F160−$5.40
wide 3c, stop 6hLondon 10-0421°C110+$1.39
wide 3c, stop 6hLucknow 10-0631°C20+$0.04
wide 3c, stop 6hMoscow 10-0513°C011−$3.39
wide 3c, stop 6hMilan 10-0424°C01−$0.43
wide 3c, stop 6hBusan 10-0427°C870
wide 3c, stop 6hNYC 10-0462-63°F012−$1.10
wide 3c, stop 6hLondon 10-0422°C80−$0.85
wide 3c, stop 6hLos Angeles 10-0496-97°F30−$0.53
wide 3c, stop 6hMilan 10-0423°C50+$0.11
wide 3c, stop 6hAtlanta 10-0580-81°F200−$0.04
wide 3c, stop 6hSao Paulo 10-0525°C140−$1.35
wide 3c, stop 6hShanghai 10-0423°C042−$24.00
wide 3c, stop 6hTel Aviv 10-0431°C180−$1.69
wide 3c, stop 6hSeattle 10-0574-75°F50−$0.33
wide 3c, stop 6hWellington 10-0615°C05−$0.03
wide 3c, stop 6hChongqing 10-0522°C020−$1.16
wide 3c, stop 6hMiami 10-0590-91°F08+$1.34
wide 3c, stop 6hBusan 10-0425°C30

Data kept

Database 440 MB. Downloads: every fill (CSV) · settlements (CSV)

full order-book snapshots (every cycle)1,142
price summaries per market per cycle140,637
public trade records (taker + maker side)140,372
taker orders rebuilt with exact price levels50,623
decision logs (every market considered, every cycle, every setting)4,334
offers placed, with full context20,820
fills, with queue/inventory/cash before & after + price 1/5/15/60 min later1,351
reward accruals per offer per cycle51,950
settled positions41
reward-rate changes18,242
cycle health & timing1,142

* model estimate. Last error: none